Fifteen individuals would have a statistical chance of winning a senatorial seat. Most of the probable winners are either former or incumbent members of the Senate.
Emerging in the top spot is Senator Francis G. Escudero (65.6%), with Senator Loren Legarda (58.9%) in second place. Meanwhile, Transportation and Communications Secretary Manuel A. Roxas II (43.0%) is in 3rd-4th places. Also in 3rd place (with his lowest showing being 5th place) is Senator Alan Peter S. Cayetano (40.3%). Completing the top five is former Vice-President Noli de Castro whose overall voter preference of 34.8% puts him anywhere from 4th to 8th places.
Sharing 5th to 12th places are San Juan City Representative Joseph Victor Ejercito (30.4%), Senator Gregorio B. Honasan (29.6%) and Cagayan Representative Juan Ponce Enrile, Jr. (29.5%). Senator Aquilino Martin Pimentel III (29.4%) and Justice Secretary Leila M. de Lima (29.4%) land in 6th to 12th places.
Other probable winners are Senator Antonio F. Trillanes IV (28.7%), former Senator Juan Miguel F. Zubiri (26.9%), Aurora Province Representative Juan Edgardo M. Angara (24.3%), former Senator Ana Madrigal (24.0%) and former Senator Richard J. Gordon (22.1%). At best, these individuals would find themselves in 6th to 12th places but their lowest statistical rankings – 14th to 20th places – would put them out of the winners’ circle. Less than one in ten Filipinos (5.2%) does not have/refuses to name any preferred candidate for the May 2013 senatorial elections.
Source: Pulse Asia November Survey